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XAUUSD Analysis - Why Gold Will Hit $2,200 This Month

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Technical + fundamental analysis pointing to strong bullish momentum:

Technical:

  • Broke above 2,150 resistance with high volume
  • RSI showing strength but not overbought
  • MACD golden cross on daily
  • Fibonacci 1.618 extension targets 2,205

Fundamental:

  • Fed likely to pause rate hikes
  • Geopolitical tensions increasing (safe haven demand)
  • Dollar weakening against major currencies
  • Central banks accumulating gold

My positions:

  • Long from 2,145, SL at 2,120
  • TP1: 2,180 (50% close)
  • TP2: 2,205 (remaining 50%)

Risk/reward: 1:2.4

What's your take? Am I being too optimistic?

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